Thursday, August 20, 2020

A Few Pandemic Factoids...

 When the Chinese Wuhan Coronavirus reared its ugly head, everyone began asking me, The Chuckmeister, how they should view it.

That's because my family and friends know that I spent a lifetime in the medical field making sick people well.  And a good portion of that time was spent in virology and epidemiology and multi organ-system antimicrobial therapy.

I also "identify" as an archeologist and a Shawnee shaman.  But that's for another screed.   

So I've often been asked if this whole virus thing is a Liberal scam (again), or if it's the first part of a viral s**tstorm so wild that the Book of Revelations tells us will kill one-third of the Earth's population.  

Of course, if you don't read the Bible, then you're safe.

The answer I've been giving since March, since this all began, has not changed.  It's was and is, this: "You've got about a one-in-one thousand chance of getting it, and if you get it, about a one-in-one thousand chance of dying from it."

Too simplistic?  Perhaps.  Just a prognostication borne of decades of experience.  And, as it turns out, one remarkably accurate (even a blind pig finds an acorn every now and again!).  For those in need of additional proof, here are the most recent statistics from the Centers for Disease Control    

                                          As of:  August 10, 2020

Total Tested:                                65,756,307

     Total Negative:                       59,867,907

     Negative %:                                         91%

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Total Positive:                               5,888,400

     Positive %:                                            9%

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Total Deaths:                                   161,842

     Death Rate (as % of positive):              2.75%

     Death Rate (as % of total tests):           0.25%

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Population of the U.S.:             331,000,000

     Morality Rate:                                        0.04%

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Chance of Not Dying From the Chinese Coronavirus:

                                                                  99.96%

Now, I know that my flip "one chance in one-thousand" comment was slightly off.  Yes it was.  But I'd offer up that is wasn't off by all that much...

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